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Posted by on Sep 7, 2017 in ETF Strategist, Featured

Tom Petty’s Retirement Plan

Tom Petty’s Retirement Plan

By Roger Nusbaum, AdvisorShares ETF Strategist

You never slow down, you never grow old

A bunch of different snippets today. First up, my brother sent me this link from the USA Today that as Congress starts to try to figure out tax reform they might change the tax deferred status of 401k contributions. If they were to change it such that all 401ks essentially now become Roth 401ks (going forward) that wouldn’t be the worst thing in the world. Of course, some (many) would come out behind especially if their tax rate ends up being lower in retirement but it wouldn’t by itself be catastrophic (not to be taken as my supporting the idea, I don’t).

The potential catastrophe would be if would be savers are turned off by not being able to deduct their contribution and so don’t set anything aside. The article cites research from the Economic Policy Institute that the median working age family had only saved $5000 as of 2013. I actually don’t think Congress will mess with this in anyway shape or form such that the path to savings is impeded, if anything they should make it even more attractive to save money but if they are so stupid to hurt middle class savers, that is from the top down. From the bottom up, many of us still have the opportunity to set money aside to solve, or prevent, our own problem.

Over the last few years I have been very intrigued with tiny houses. One aspect that doesn’t seem to get talked about much is the extent to which they are vehicles (often having to be licensed through the DMV) and so they potentially depreciate in value similar to a vehicle. If you watch the various shows on HGTV and the like of people paying what amounts to $400 square foot you’re probably pretty skeptical about those economics but the various things I follow on social media are now starting to list used tiny houses for sale. I saw one over the weekend for about $16,000.

The context of my blogging about tiny houses is not that 224 square feet would be a permanent solution for too many people but something like a five-year stint as a young retiree, renting out a primary residence and cutting back significantly on expenses, maybe delaying Social Security, if that appeals to you, could solve retirement problems for a lot of folks. This would also apply living in a foreign country. If that $5000 number above from USA Today is anywhere close to right then a lot of Americans will need to think outside the box. Five years as a young retiree on an adventure sounds intriguing and if it is financially beneficial, all the better.

That lyric at the top of the post about not slowing down is from the song Mary Jane’s Last Dance by Tom Petty. We’ve all heard some version of that sentiment from someone who has aged successfully. Prescott, the town where we live in Arizona, is interesting for there being a mix of 80-year olds who can bench press 300lbs (slight exaggeration) and unfortunately, 50-year olds on oxygen. While there obviously some socio-economic factors at play there, I do believe that our behaviors can play a large role in determining outcomes related to aging.

We had a medical call (volunteer fire department related) over the weekend and the issue had to do with a side effect that although very common in the patient’s situation was essentially falling through the cracks medically. I don’t know whether the problem was Medicare, having too many doctors, something with the hospital or something else. I personally am very motivated to avoid that circumstance. We have talked before about trying to keep fit and make other lifestyle choices that give a good chance for staving off the need for medical expenditures. Fidelity’s well-known reports about needing to spend in the mid-$200,000’s on medical expenses keeps rising every year and obviously anything that can be done to reduce that expense directly helps those who are grossly under-saved. The takeaway here is the need to learn about exercise (aerobic and resistance), diet (especially carbohydrates), staying active (not sitting at home waiting to die, brutal but common) and supplements (turmeric, kombucha, CBD aa examples).

Part of financial planning is life planning. The value of a robust investment portfolio is diminished by not living long enough to enjoy it.

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