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Posted by on May 12, 2016 in ETF Strategist, Investment Perspective

When To Take Social Security; Still Complicated

When To Take Social Security; Still Complicated

By Roger Nusbaum, AdvisorShares ETF Strategist

 
Yahoo Finance ran an article titled How To Delay Taking Social Security Benefits Until You Absolutely Have To. This sort of thing is always of interest and the article had a couple of interesting even if not original ideas.

The starting point is the author’s belief that waiting to take Social Security until age 70 (or FRA for someone taking spousal benefits) is the best thing to do because waiting until age 70 results in a larger payout. This line of thinking always brings out the conspiracy people that believe that the media supports the government’s desire for people to wait longer to stave off insolvency or otherwise save the government money.

That aside, there are plenty of valid points to support taking it early and plenty of valid points to support waiting until 70. The number of variables is endless. Influences here include expectations for longevity, health issues and financial situation. The potential insolvency of the program itself is another issue. If someone is convinced that it will fail in 2030 and is eligible in 2020, they might want to start taking it in 2020.

It is also important to understand the relevant breakeven number. Starting benefits at 62 (versus 70) means taking in eight years of reduced payments versus waiting for the higher payout at 70. How long does it take for the eight year wait to pay off? For most people it is eight-ten years. Not to mention the myriad of spousal strategies that we can discuss in a subsequent post.

My own belief has been to let it max out. To my way of thinking an investor is beholden to market returns for a shorter period of time, the amount of time they are retired in their 60’s. I view this as being more conservative as opposed to having to get x% per year from age 70 until whenever. If the combined benefit at 70 is $4000 (in today’s dollars) then the portfolio probably needs to do a whole lot less than for a reduced benefit of, say, $2700.

I cannot refute any argument to take it early, my preference as of now is to wait and of course views on these things could easily change between ages 45 or 50 and age 65.

The other big point was about “monetizing your hobbies.” I don’t know whether I coined that phrase or not but I have been writing about it for more than ten years. It is always amusing to see this addressed in main stream media now because I have been writing about it for so long.

In addition to the many ideas we’ve addressed here before, in Arizona we have all kinds of antique shows and craft fairs (where people buy a booth or table space and try to sell their wares). In a similar vein, Arizona also has a lot of gun shows. These are things that a lot of people are interested and while they don’t really sound appealing to me I know plenty of people who engage these types of events and make a modest living at it.

I met someone recently at one of these shows here in Prescott (friend of a friend as it turned out) who made sculptures of things like cars, motorcycles, people doing things and so on out of nuts, bolts, spark plugs, lag bolts and other types of metal and they were very neat. While I don’t know how much he makes, there was a lot of activity in his booth.

This is a simple premise. If some portion of the monthly income need can be met with a hobby, then the portfolio has a larger margin for error (or poor market environment). Additionally, any activity that keeps people more engaged than they otherwise would be is also a very positive outcome.

The AlphaBaskets blog provides frequent market insight and commentary by AdvisorShares Investments, LLC, created by AdvisorShares and other leading active managers.  AdvisorShares Investments is an SEC-registered investment adviser and the investment adviser to the AdvisorShares actively managed ETFs. The views expressed on AlphaBaskets should not be taken as investment advice or a recommendation for any of the actively managed ETFs advised by AdvisorShares.

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